Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.053072 0.062633 0.073340 0.086206 0.101238 0.118234 0.138901
2025-06-15 0.039083 0.051650 0.067295 0.088152 0.115184 0.148984 0.194409
2025-06-22 0.029922 0.043201 0.061153 0.087090 0.123495 0.172649 0.243923
2025-06-29 0.023580 0.036657 0.055593 0.084837 0.128672 0.191704 0.288949
2025-07-06 0.018938 0.031414 0.050595 0.081990 0.131805 0.207436 0.330507
2025-07-13 0.016431 0.028867 0.049026 0.083751 0.141671 0.233875 0.391042
2025-07-20 0.014232 0.026364 0.047013 0.084287 0.149359 0.257518 0.449813
2025-07-27 0.012474 0.024273 0.045287 0.084900 0.157027 0.281767 0.512275
2025-08-03 0.011119 0.022661 0.044101 0.086183 0.165860 0.308814 0.582580
2025-08-10 0.010164 0.021628 0.043784 0.088941 0.177604 0.342194 0.667977
2025-08-17 0.008691 0.019308 0.040651 0.085808 0.177718 0.354177 0.715006
2025-08-24 0.007743 0.017913 0.039122 0.085593 0.183401 0.377149 0.785472
2025-08-31 0.006810 0.016415 0.037206 0.084396 0.187124 0.397110 0.853247
2025-09-07 0.006267 0.015703 0.036858 0.086495 0.198027 0.432815 0.957459
2025-09-14 0.005562 0.014489 0.035218 0.085491 0.202070 0.454748 1.035415
2025-09-21 0.004875 0.013194 0.033189 0.083286 0.203095 0.470290 1.101331
2025-09-28 0.004247 0.011934 0.031050 0.080490 0.202349 0.481775 1.159492
2025-10-05 0.003945 0.011475 0.030790 0.082220 0.212518 0.518952 1.280358
2025-10-12 0.003613 0.010878 0.030092 0.082747 0.219811 0.550284 1.391155
2025-10-19 0.003321 0.010339 0.029461 0.083349 0.227363 0.583060 1.509134
2025-10-26 0.003086 0.009923 0.029098 0.084609 0.236762 0.621362 1.644975
2025-11-02 0.002928 0.009708 0.029257 0.087319 0.250332 0.671523 1.816127
2025-11-09 0.002579 0.008842 0.027444 0.084242 0.247874 0.680743 1.883657